🏁 Race Warmups & Strategies for 5K, 10K, Half & Full Marathons | Garmin vs Strava Predictor Tested

Coach: Every race demands something different from your body and mind. A 5K burns from the gun, while the marathon punishes the impatient. Warming up correctly sets you up to perform – and pacing wisely keeps you strong through the finish.

P50F: At 66, I’ve learned that warmups are about balance. Too little, and my body feels stiff; too much, and I’ve spent fuel I’ll need later. Here’s how I plan to approach each race distance, armed with Garmin’s optimism, Strava’s realism, and my own Plus50Fit predictor.

Bar chart comparing race predictions from Garmin, Strava, and Plus50Fit across 5K, 10K, Half Marathon, and Marathon distances. Y-axis shows predicted pace in minutes per kilometer, with Garmin fastest, Strava slower, and Plus50Fit slowest at longer distances.
Race predictor comparison between Garmin, Strava, and the Plus50Fit model. Garmin consistently forecasts faster paces across all distances, Strava predicts more conservative times, while the Plus50Fit Predictor aligns closer to actual marathon training data. This highlights how prediction models diverge most at the half marathon and marathon distances.

🏃 5K Race Warmup Strategy: The Speed Burn

Coach’s Corner – Warmup

  • 10–15 minutes easy jog (Z1–Z2a).
  • 4–6 × 20–30 sec strides at 5K effort, full recovery.
  • Optional drills: skips, butt kicks, high knees.

Coach’s Corner – In-Race Strategy

  • First km at controlled 5K pace.
  • Middle 3K steady and aggressive.
  • Final km → full effort.

Predicted Paces (min/km | min/mi):

  • Garmin: 5:12/km (8:23/mi)
  • Strava: 5:26/km (8:44/mi)
  • Plus50Fit Predictor: 5:35/km (8:59/mi)

P50F Take:
“My Garmin thinks I’m blazing. Strava’s kinder. My P50F model says 5:35/km. I’ll line up aiming for that, then give myself permission to hammer the last kilometre if the legs are talking.”


🏃‍♂️ 10K Race Warmup Strategy: Threshold Territory

Coach’s Corner – Warmup

  • 10–15 minutes easy jog.
  • 3–5 × 20 sec strides at 10K effort.
  • 2–3 minutes of shuffle jogging to stay loose.

Coach’s Corner – In-Race Strategy

  • First 2K slightly slower than target pace.
  • Middle 6K at predicted 10K pace.
  • Final 2K → gradual acceleration.

Predicted Paces:

  • Garmin: 5:21/km (8:37/mi)
  • Strava: 5:36/km (9:01/mi)
  • Plus50Fit Predictor: 5:45/km (9:15/mi)

P50F Take:
“This distance is my threshold test. Garmin’s numbers are aspirational, Strava is realistic, and my P50F predictor keeps me honest at 5:45/km. The plan: steady through the middle and see what’s left in the tank.”


🏃‍♀️ Half Marathon Warmup Strategy (21.1K): The Patience Play

Coach’s Corner – Warmup

  • 5–10 minutes easy jog.
  • 2–3 × 15–20 sec relaxed strides.
  • Keep it minimal; save glycogen.

Coach’s Corner – In-Race Strategy

  • First 5K: pace ~+10 sec/km above goal.
  • Middle 10K: settle into predicted HM pace.
  • Final 5–6K: hold or push depending on feel.

Predicted Paces:

  • Garmin: 5:30/km (8:52/mi)
  • Strava: 5:47/km (9:18/mi)
  • Plus50Fit Predictor: 6:00/km (9:39/mi)

P50F Take:
“The half is about discipline. Garmin tells me I can fly at 5:30/km – but experience says trust my 6:00/km predictor. My first 5K is always a rolling warmup; I only start racing when I feel settled.”


🏃‍♂️ Marathon Warmup Strategy (42.2K): The Long Game

Coach’s Corner – Warmup

  • 5 minutes shuffle jog or brisk walk.
  • 2 strides if stiff.
  • Goal: loosen, conserve glycogen.

Coach’s Corner – In-Race Strategy

  • First 10K: +10–15 sec/km slower than target.
  • Middle 20K: lock into marathon pace.
  • Final 12K: assess, then go if possible.

Predicted Paces:

  • Garmin: 5:40/km (9:08/mi)
  • Strava: 6:00/km (9:39/mi)
  • Plus50Fit Predictor: 6:18/km (10:09/mi)

P50F Take:
“My Garmin thinks I’m younger than I am. Strava is a bit closer. My P50F predictor – built from TrainingPeaks logs – says 6:18/km is the mark. My mantra: conserve early, trust the work, close strong.” Race day will be my first opportunity to test this one since this will be my first 42.2K.


📌 Key Takeaways

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